You're not taking a weighted average, you're assuming there are equal odds for each blue/miller/godfather. Since you are either blue or miller, that makes his chances of being either one of those less, and it just comes back out to 50%. If between the two of us there is a 100% chance there is a godfather, it's impossible that he could be any more or less than 50% godfather
deletedalmost 14 years
when you are blue on lylo and there are two other blues claiming, no matter what the report is, it's 50%. if someone was watching from the graveyard, your odds made sense, but you included yourself in the odds of possible mafia, which made your logic faulty. 33% and 50% don't add up to 100%
No, i'm calling you a sore loser because you just can't accept that it was a positive outcome. If we had lost, and GunGun started whining, then I'd have gotten on him. But I get the worst feeling that you would still have been complaining no matter which way it went.
deletedabout 14 years
No really d1 everybody was spamming and practically all my assumptions were correct , about gaia guising about maf playing on the open and about soldier being maf
deletedabout 14 years
Thanks, I intentionally pretended to save a new player so he would believe me no matter what. Then it was just a matter of running the clock until I could kick the vote. You were the biggest thorn in my side, but I felt that I had a better chance convincing you over Shmuel. I was also hoping that me saying I was clear d1 would be a towntell to you, since maybe you would think "mafia knows they aren't clear so they wouldn't push that, but a townie might think they are clear because they're so convinced mafia wouldn't NK". Fortunately the bomb and the player I "saved" were too sheepish in light of my caps spam and aggressive play, so your statements were, to the detriment of town, largely ignored. gg regardless, although I don't think town stood a chance given those players.
Sorry, the game kicked me out. What Desynch meant was because you both were CCs, and we had a ML, even if we lynched you as town, we would still be able to lynch him as mafia the next day and still win. So it didn't matter if you were town or not. (I was Wordshaker).
EpicSides
