thanks for the breakdown. i didn't really believe myself the other day when i tried to convince the other blue that gf was being gf with "he's inno he has a higher chance of being gf than both of us!" as an excuse. turns out i wasn't wrong.
if person 1 has an inno report and person 2 and 3 aren't reported, the possible outcomes for the clear are: blue 1, miller 2, scum 3 blue 1, scum 3, miller 2 scum 1, miller 2, blue 3 scum 1, blue 2, miller 3 so 50% chance of 1 being scum and 25% chance of the other two
if person 2 is clear (or self-perspective from three way lylo), then: blue 1, miller 2, scum 3 scum 1, miller 2, blue 3 scum 1, blue 2, miller 3 so a non reported town member would see 67% chance of the reported being scum since there are less scenarios that involve him being town.
none of these are overwhelming odds but hey, if that's your last logical resort and you're in a gridlock, i suppose it doesn't hurt to see them
ok, let's change the original scenario. let's add a pr for a 4 way where town is forced to lynch. would the statistic be of any importance then? (assuming you're the pr)
noob math question, putting it out here so hopefully the pros can answer it for me. in a 3 way with godfather, blue and miller, person A was inno'd by cop. does he by any means have a higher chance of being maf than the other two?
