If you kill n1 then you have a 75% chance of hitting a bomb, from there it's autowin for town. (Town just keep nling until santa has a guilty, forcing sniper to shoot before nl spam, which only has a 33% chance of success, and from there snipe only has a 66% chance of winning. (AKA 22% chance of success if he shoots after stalk hit bomb.) And even if you manage to hit santa n1, then you still only have 86% chance to win. TL;DR: IF MAF KILLS N1 THEN TOWN GETS 38% WIN CHANCE.
How is this 56% town sided? Don't kill N1 as stalker. I am 8/8 as stalker on this setup and 2/4 as sniper and one of those losses were because my partner shot night one. This isn't town sided at all.