Blue is the VIP. His three best bodyguards are on him today, but he has two killers after him. One is the patient, plotting killer who can take his time. The other is the crazed maniac after him for his blood. Killing day one has approximately a 25% risk of getting killed by a BG. ................................ There is a chance (11% if mafia night kills n1) that d1 will see two townies dying. In this case, all players should claim to be MAFIA and BGs should randomly protect that night.